ABSTRACT
Objetivo: Este artículo compara 4 escalas de predicción de mortalidad y gravedad de la enfermedad (CRIB, CRIB II, SNAPPE, SNAPPE II) en recién nacidos prematuros y a términos, ingresados a las unidades de cuidaos intensivos neonatales (UCIN) para determinar cuál de ellas, tiene mayor discriminación pronostica. Métodos: es un estudio transversal, observacional, multicéntrico para comparar varias escalas de predicción de mortalidad y de la enfermedad. Se recolectaron datos de 227 recién nacidos ingresados a las UCIN de 4 hospitales desde julio a diciembre del 2018. Evaluamos las escalas CRIB, CRIB II, SNAPII y SNAP-PE score en recién nacidos prematuros y a término. El área bajo la curva (ROC) fue usada para evaluar y comparar los resultados de predicción de mortalidad y morbilidad. Resultados: Un total of 227 recién nacidos fueron evaluados (media CRIB: 7,81±3,52 media CRIB-II: 11,96±3,91; media SNAP-II: 34,99±16,83, SNAPPE II: 14,61±13,30). Se evidenció una mayor discriminación para las escalas CRIB II y CRIB en relación con SNAP-II y SNAPP II (AUC 0.94 y 0.93 vs 0.86 y 0,77). Además de cada puntuación, varias variables influyeron significativamente en la supervivencia en los modelos de regresión logística. Conclusiones: Todas las escalas de predicción de mortalidad y de gravedad de la enfermedad sirven para utilizarse en las UCIN estudiadas, siendo la escala CRIB II la de mejor rendimiento para aplicarse en nuestro medio.
Objective: This article compares 4 scales of prediction of mortality and disease severity (CRIB, CRIB II, SNAPPE, SNAPPE II) in preterm and term new borns admitted to neonatal intensive care units (NICU) to determine which of them has greater forecast discrimination. Methods: it is a cross-sectional, observational, multicenter study that compares several mortality and disease prediction scales. Data were collected from 227 newborns admitted to the NICU of 4 hospitals from July to December 2018. We evaluated the CRIB, CRIB II, SNAPII and SNAP-PE score scales in preterm and full term infants. The area under the curve (ROC) was used to evaluate and compare the prediction results of mortality and morbidity. Results: A total of 227 newborns were evaluated (mean CRIB: 7.81 ± 3.52 mean CRIB-II: 11.96 ± 3.91, average SNAP-II: 34.99 ± 16.83, SNAPPE II: 14.61 ± 13.30). There was evidence of greater discrimination for the CRIB II and CRIB scales in relation to SNAP-II and SNAPP II (AUC 0.94 and 0.93 vs 0.86 and 0.77). In addition to each score, several variables significantly influenced survival in the logistic regression models. Conclusions: All the prediction scales of mortality and severity of the disease serve to be used in the studied NICUs, being the CRIB II scale the best performance to apply in our environment.
Subject(s)
Humans , Infant, Newborn , Infant, Premature , Infant Mortality , Forecasting , Infant, NewbornABSTRACT
Objective: To investigate the relationship between score for neonatal acute physiology II (SNAP II) applied within 12 hours from the onset of severe sepsis, and death and persistent organ dysfunction (OD). Design: Prospective cohort study. Setting: Level III neonatal intensive care unit. Participants: Neonates with severe sepsis. Intervention:SNAP II was applied within the first 12 hours from the onset of severe sepsis. Neonates with major malformations, severe asphyxia and prior blood products were excluded. Major outcome measure: Death at day 14 from enrolment. Results: Forty neonates completed the study. Twenty-five died within 14 days. The median SNAP II was significantly higher in babies who died versus those who survived [median (IQR): 43 (36 – 53.5) vs 18 (16 - 37), P<0.001]. A SNAP II greater than 40 had 88% positive predictive value for death and persistent OD each, and 86.6% and 86% specificity for death and persistent OD, respectively. On day 14 from enrolment, more organs normalized/improved in the subjects with SNAP II of £40. Perfusion related SNAP II parameters were significantly associated with death and organ dysfunction. Conclusions: Severely septicemic neonates with high SNAP II scores (>40) have a higher risk of dying and persistent organ dysfunction. Individual SNAP II parameters do not contribute equally in prediction of mortality.